Afghanistan
Bulletins
Bi-weekly satellite-based flood, drought, and groundwater bulletins covering all 34 provinces and 400+ districts. Built on NASA, ECMWF, and ESA data — free, open, and independent.
2
34
48
Issues published
16
Day frequency
Satellite indices
Provinces covered
Chashma-Sar · Multi-Hazard Intelligence
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Emergency Flash Bulletin · April 3, 2026
District-Level Flood Alert — East & South Afghanistan
Data period
Verified by
Districts covered
Forecast source
Apr 3–19, 2026
ECMWF IFS NRT
ANDMA · Amu TV · AP · IOM
72 districts — east & south
📍 Active Situation — April 3, 2026
34 districts forecast to receive >150mm over 15 days — classified CRISIS. Kunar leads at 222mm (Ghaziabad district). Google Flood Hub shows EXTREME discharge in Kandahar (Arghandab River). Salang Pass closed — 9 northern provinces cut from Kabul supply lines. All damage figures verified against ANDMA official reports, Amu TV, and international wire services.
51
2700+
89
1084+
Deaths confirmed
ANDMA / Amu TV, Apr 2
Injured
ANDMA / Amu TV, Apr 2
Families displaced
25+ provinces
Homes destroyed
384 in last 24h alone
Kunar (222mm) — Ghaziabad, Nari, Shigal: CRISIS. Remote access severely limited.
Khost (177mm) — Gurbuz, Musakhel, Qalandar: CRISIS. Khost-Paktia road closed.
Nangarhar (174mm) — Shinwar, Khogyani: CRISIS. Jalalabad basin at risk.
Kandahar (EXTREME) — Google Flood Hub: return period threshold exceeded, Arghandab River.
Nuristan (215mm) — Kamdesh, Poruns, Waygal: CRISIS. 3 children killed in landslide.
Paktya (185mm) — Janikhel, Chamkani: CRISIS. Urban flooding confirmed.
Salang Pass — 4m snow. 93km roads destroyed. Power off in 12 provinces.
Agriculture — 2,901 jeribs (~580 ha) farmland destroyed. May wheat harvest at risk in west.
Drought data
Flood forecast
MODIS VHI — March 2026
ECMWF IFS — Apr 2–18
Afghanistan Multi-Hazard Climate & Water Intelligence Bulletin
Issue #1 · April 2, 2026
📍 Situation — April 2, 2026
Afghanistan facing compound multi-hazard emergency: active flooding across 18+ provinces, agricultural drought ALERT in 8 western provinces (VHI 40–55), and structural groundwater deficit in all 34 provinces (NASA GRACE, Sept 2024). EXTREME river gauge active in Kandahar. Salang Pass closed. FAO confirmed widespread flash flood risk Mar 30–Apr 5.
6
8
Provinces CRISIS flood
>150mm ECMWF
Provinces drought ALERT
VHI 40–55
Kunar 202mm · Nuristan 197mm · Khost 192mm — CRISIS flood forecast.
Badghis VHI=45 · Faryab VHI=48 · Herat VHI=52 — agricultural drought ALERT.
Groundwater (GRACE) — all 34 provinces in structural deficit. Badakhshan worst at −43.5cm.
Afghanistan Multi-Hazard Climate & Water Intelligence Bulletin
Issue #2 · April , 2026
6
Drought data
Flood forecast
7
Provinces HIGH flood risk
(Badakhshan · Takhar · Baghlan · Panjshir · Parwan · Kunar)
Provinces drought ALERT
(VHI ~50–55, North-West belt)
VHI — Apr 1–19, 2026
ECMWF IFS — Next 15 Days
📍 SITUATION — APRIL 2026
Active flood risk in the North-East due to rain falling on mountain snow
Agricultural drought ALERT in the North-West (VHI ~50–55)
Structural water deficit continues across most provinces
Critical snowmelt + rainfall overlap in Salang and Andarab corridors
Badakhshan · Takhar · Baghlan · Panjshir — CRISIS flood risk (rain-on-snow)
Kabul (Estalef, Surobi) — urban flash flood warning
Salang Pass — high احتمال بسته شدن مسیر
Badghis VHI: 50.3 · Faryab: 50.8 · Herat: 51.4 — crop stress ALERT
Rainfall anomaly — most provinces below normal (dry month overall)
Issue #3 · mAY , 2026
Afghanistan Multi-Hazard Climate & Water Intelligence Bulletin
SPRING RAINFALL OUTLOOK
10–25 Sawr 1405
FORECAST MODEL
ECMWF IFS — 15 Day Accumulated Forecast
📍 SITUATION — MAY 2026
North-East, East, and Central Highlands expected to receive the highest rainfall
Southern and South-Western provinces likely to remain mostly dry
Elevated flood and runoff risk in mountain districts and river valleys
Rainfall strongest during the first 7 forecast days
6
5
Provinces HIGH rainfall signal Takhar · Baghlan · Samangan · Nangarhar · Kunar · Badakhshan
High-risk flood corridors Badakhshan · Takhar · Baghlan · Nangarhar · Kunar
Badakhshan · Takhar · Baghlan — heavy spring rainfall with elevated flash-flood potential
Kunar · Nangarhar — persistent rainfall across mountainous districts and river valleys
Samangan — above-normal precipitation signal during the 15-day outlook
Kabul · Panjshir · Kapisa — moderate but continuous rainfall pattern expected
Southern Afghanistan — dry conditions continue across Nimroz, Helmand, Kandahar, Farah, and Zabul
Highest concern districts: Raghistan, Jurm, Rustaq, Pul-e-Khumri, Asadabad, Achin
Days 1–7 forecast window remains the most reliable according to ECMWF guidance
Localized landslides and rapid runoff possible in steep terrain and narrow valleys
Chashma-Sar · MSSADO · 2026
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