Afghanistan
Bulletins

Bi-weekly satellite-based flood, drought, and groundwater bulletins covering all 34 provinces and 400+ districts. Built on NASA, ECMWF, and ESA data — free, open, and independent.

2

34

48

Issues published

16

Day frequency

Satellite indices

Provinces covered

Chashma-Sar · Multi-Hazard Intelligence

Subscribe for Public Bullentins

Receive every bulletin automatically

Follow our channels for instant alerts when new bulletins or emergency briefs are published.

Emergency Flash Bulletin · April 3, 2026

District-Level Flood Alert — East & South Afghanistan

Data period

Verified by

Districts covered

Forecast source

Apr 3–19, 2026

ECMWF IFS NRT

ANDMA · Amu TV · AP · IOM

72 districts — east & south

📍 Active Situation — April 3, 2026

34 districts forecast to receive >150mm over 15 days — classified CRISIS. Kunar leads at 222mm (Ghaziabad district). Google Flood Hub shows EXTREME discharge in Kandahar (Arghandab River). Salang Pass closed — 9 northern provinces cut from Kabul supply lines. All damage figures verified against ANDMA official reports, Amu TV, and international wire services.

51

2700+

89

1084+

Deaths confirmed
ANDMA / Amu TV, Apr 2

Injured
ANDMA / Amu TV, Apr 2

Families displaced
25+ provinces

Homes destroyed
384 in last 24h alone

  • Kunar (222mm) — Ghaziabad, Nari, Shigal: CRISIS. Remote access severely limited.

  • Khost (177mm) — Gurbuz, Musakhel, Qalandar: CRISIS. Khost-Paktia road closed.

  • Nangarhar (174mm) — Shinwar, Khogyani: CRISIS. Jalalabad basin at risk.

  • Kandahar (EXTREME) — Google Flood Hub: return period threshold exceeded, Arghandab River.

  • Nuristan (215mm) — Kamdesh, Poruns, Waygal: CRISIS. 3 children killed in landslide.

  • Paktya (185mm) — Janikhel, Chamkani: CRISIS. Urban flooding confirmed.

  • Salang Pass — 4m snow. 93km roads destroyed. Power off in 12 provinces.

  • Agriculture — 2,901 jeribs (~580 ha) farmland destroyed. May wheat harvest at risk in west.

Drought data

Flood forecast

MODIS VHI — March 2026

ECMWF IFS — Apr 2–18

Afghanistan Multi-Hazard Climate & Water Intelligence Bulletin

Issue #1 · April 2, 2026

📍 Situation — April 2, 2026

Afghanistan facing compound multi-hazard emergency: active flooding across 18+ provinces, agricultural drought ALERT in 8 western provinces (VHI 40–55), and structural groundwater deficit in all 34 provinces (NASA GRACE, Sept 2024). EXTREME river gauge active in Kandahar. Salang Pass closed. FAO confirmed widespread flash flood risk Mar 30–Apr 5.

6

8

Provinces CRISIS flood
>150mm ECMWF

Provinces drought ALERT
VHI 40–55

  • Kunar 202mm · Nuristan 197mm · Khost 192mm — CRISIS flood forecast.

  • Badghis VHI=45 · Faryab VHI=48 · Herat VHI=52 — agricultural drought ALERT.

  • Groundwater (GRACE) — all 34 provinces in structural deficit. Badakhshan worst at −43.5cm.

Afghanistan Multi-Hazard Climate & Water Intelligence Bulletin

Issue #2 · April , 2026

6

Drought data

Flood forecast

7

Provinces HIGH flood risk
(Badakhshan · Takhar · Baghlan · Panjshir · Parwan · Kunar)

Provinces drought ALERT
(VHI ~50–55, North-West belt)

VHI — Apr 1–19, 2026

ECMWF IFS — Next 15 Days

📍 SITUATION — APRIL 2026

  • Active flood risk in the North-East due to rain falling on mountain snow

  • Agricultural drought ALERT in the North-West (VHI ~50–55)

  • Structural water deficit continues across most provinces

  • Critical snowmelt + rainfall overlap in Salang and Andarab corridors

  • Badakhshan · Takhar · Baghlan · Panjshir — CRISIS flood risk (rain-on-snow)

  • Kabul (Estalef, Surobi) — urban flash flood warning

  • Salang Pass — high احتمال بسته شدن مسیر

  • Badghis VHI: 50.3 · Faryab: 50.8 · Herat: 51.4 — crop stress ALERT

  • Rainfall anomaly — most provinces below normal (dry month overall)

Issue #3 · mAY , 2026

Afghanistan Multi-Hazard Climate & Water Intelligence Bulletin

SPRING RAINFALL OUTLOOK

10–25 Sawr 1405

FORECAST MODEL

ECMWF IFS — 15 Day Accumulated Forecast

📍 SITUATION — MAY 2026

  • North-East, East, and Central Highlands expected to receive the highest rainfall

  • Southern and South-Western provinces likely to remain mostly dry

  • Elevated flood and runoff risk in mountain districts and river valleys

  • Rainfall strongest during the first 7 forecast days

6

5

Provinces HIGH rainfall signal Takhar · Baghlan · Samangan · Nangarhar · Kunar · Badakhshan

High-risk flood corridors Badakhshan · Takhar · Baghlan · Nangarhar · Kunar

  • Badakhshan · Takhar · Baghlan — heavy spring rainfall with elevated flash-flood potential

  • Kunar · Nangarhar — persistent rainfall across mountainous districts and river valleys

  • Samangan — above-normal precipitation signal during the 15-day outlook

  • Kabul · Panjshir · Kapisa — moderate but continuous rainfall pattern expected

  • Southern Afghanistan — dry conditions continue across Nimroz, Helmand, Kandahar, Farah, and Zabul

  • Highest concern districts: Raghistan, Jurm, Rustaq, Pul-e-Khumri, Asadabad, Achin

  • Days 1–7 forecast window remains the most reliable according to ECMWF guidance

  • Localized landslides and rapid runoff possible in steep terrain and narrow valleys

Chashma-Sar · MSSADO · 2026

© 2026 Chashma-Sar Consulting Co. · MSSADO · All rights reserved